Service Plays Tuesday 7/27/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[BAMARED]

Joe Wiz Bonus Play

Seattle / White Sox under 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

MIN (-145) over KC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking

Carl Pavano (12-6, 3.26 ERA), Minnesota Twins

It’s amazing how Pavano had so many injury issues in New York City, since he is developing into one of the strongest workhorses in the American League.

Pavano has tossed two straight complete games – yielding only two runs and 12 hits while striking out 10 over 18 innings – to raise his total to five on the season, the second most in the AL. He also has amassed a staggering 143.2 innings this season, the third-most in the league.

The right-hander has a microscopic, 1.01 WHIP, and has posted eight quality starts over his past 10 outings. The Twins also are huge fans when he takes the bump as the team is 8-2 in his previous 10 starts.

John Lackey (9-5, 4.36 ERA), Red Sox

Lackey was the No. 1 starter on the Angels last year but has looked nothing like a staff ace since he came to Boston.

However, the past two starts have been huge for him, including taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning against Seattle.

The team expected bigger things from him this year, but consistency will be even more important for the right-hander. Over his past two outings he has yielded only two earned runs over 15 innings, including nine strikeouts against just three walks. Equally as important, the team has won three of his past five starts and Lackey has lasted at least six innings in nine of his past 10 outings.

Slumping

Gio Gonzalez (9-6, 3.75 ERA), Oakland Athletics

The right-hander has a respectable ERA and a nice win-loss record, but has struggled in his past three outings.

"You have to get ahead of the hitters. If I fall behind on them they're going to do the job," Gonzalez told the Associated Press. "When you fall behind it just spirals out of control. I should have taken a moment to step back, take a deep breath and attack the zone."

The 24-year-old has lasted just 17 innings in his past three starts, yielding 10 earned runs and 22 hits while walking eight against just 11 strikeouts over that span. Surprisingly enough, however, the under has hit in three of his past five starts.

Ryan Rowland-Smith (1-9, 6.27 ERA), Seattle Mariners

The Mariners might simply be better trotting out a pitching machine than using Rowland-Smith.

The left-hander has been especially abysmal in his past three starts, giving up 17 runs on 22 hits over just 13.1 innings. Even worse, he has given up two home runs and handed out three walks over that span.

Through 18 starts this year, he has lasted a meager 93.1 innings and has a horrific 38-38 strikeout to walk ratio. In his past 10 outings overall, the Mariners are an absurd 1-9.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-210, 8)

It’s hard to put into words exactly how bad the Orioles are on the road this season, but let’s try.

Baltimore, 2-8 over its past 10 overall, is just 13-34 on the road this season, the second worst mark in the Majors. The Orioles are hitting.252 on the road this year, but have a horrific .306 on-base percentage. The absurd lack of base runners is especially evident as the team has mustered a meager 165 runs in 47 away games.

"It's not the same as far as starting the season with the opportunity that we had,'' Orioles outfielder Luke Scott told the Baltimore Sun, "but I'm excited to see what we can do with the situation we've been dealt and how we can make the most of it."

But excitement doesn’t score runs. The Orioles are 0-9 against the Blue Jays this season, with the defeats coming by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Also, eight of the team’s nine meetings this season have fallen under the total.

Pick: Blue Jays


Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-135, 8)

The Brewers aren’t a great team, but they can hit the hell out of right-handed pitching.

Milwaukee is third in the Majors with 364 runs scored against righties, hitting .266 against them with a whopping 96 home runs. The power in the lineup has been a huge reason the team has stayed within striking distance of .500 and is 7-3 in its past 10 overall.

And guess who the Brew Crew faces on the bump? Edinson Volquez.

The Red’s power pitcher was on the disabled list for most of the season before making his debut two weeks ago. In two starts he is 1-1 with a putrid 7.56 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP. Oh, and he’s right-handed.

Volquez’s only start in Miller Park last year also was a disaster. In just five innings he gave up six earned runs on seven hits, including two home runs with four walks against four strikeouts.

Pick: Brewers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Chicago Sky at Indiana Fever (-9.5, 145)

Two of the best ATS teams in the WNBA go toe to toe Tuesday night. The Fever have won six of its last seven and are 6-1 against the number during the stretch. The Sky are no slouches themselves. The improving Eastern Conference club is 4-1 SU and ATS over its last five contests.

Both sides rely on staunch defenses and limit quality opponents’ quality scoring chances. The Fever are 4-0 SU and ATS against Chicago this season and are looking for the season sweep.

The Sky will need better production from guard Jia Perkins to avoid losing to the Fever a fifth straight time. Perkins, Chicago’s second leading scoring, is averaging 2.75 points per game against Indiana, down almost eight points from her season average.

The Fever should get the better of Chicago again but 9.5 points will be too much to cover.

Pick: Sky


Washington Mystics at Connecticut Sun (-2.5, 152.5)

The wheels normally fall off the wagon when a basketball team loses its best player. But that hasn’t been the case for the Mystics. Alana Beard, Washington’s top scorer the past five years, was lost for the season because of an ankle injury.

Surprisingly though, Washington is five games ahead of the pace from last year. Former Shock guard Katie Smith, picked up in the offseason, is filling in nicely for the injured Beard while third-year forward Crystal Langhorne is thriving as the primary scoring option.

Connecticut is stacked with talent but the team isn’t playing its best basketball. Look for Washington to grab another surprising road win.

Pick: Mystics

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

shut em down sports

Minnesota ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks mlb

Washington ML
Minnesota -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

"Bulgarian Paid service" 149-127.5-1.5 (2-2)

Omonia Nicosia - Red Bull Salzburg: 1 @2,10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting Pros 5-1 (yesterday no pick)

SC Neusiedl v.s Arsenal - Back Arsenal (current odds = 1.21)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Mariners.

Tuesday: Cubs. The deficit is 30 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Reds had Hondo singing the blues yesterday when they did their Mets' imitation in Houston to boost the number on the big red deficit toteboard to 1,010 rigneys.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch is expecting to coast with the Giants over the Marlins -- 10 units on Zito.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BetAdvisor - Andrei Nitu WNBA 7/27

San Antonio Silver - Stars New York Liberty OVER 150.5 -102

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Florida at San Francisco
The Marlins look to build on their 8-1 record in Josh Johnson's last 9 starts against the NL West. Florida is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 27

Game 901-902: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 15.089; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.508
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+190); Over

Game 903-904: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 14.768; Washington (Stasburg) 14.841
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Under

Game 905-906: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.777; NY Mets (Niese) 14.630
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-155); Over

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 14.836; Houston (Myers) 15.220
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-105); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Volquez) 14.390; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.132
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Under

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.885; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.864
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-210); Over

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.705; San Diego (Garland) 15.686
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Under

Game 915-916: Florida at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 16.389; San Francisco (Cain) 14.977
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Florida (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115); Over

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.386; Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.525
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-240); Over

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Millwood) 13.628; Toronto (Romero) 15.274
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-240); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.413; Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.841
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

Game 923-924: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.260; Texas (Lee) 15.871
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-240); Over

Game 925-926: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 17.034; Kansas City (Chen) 14.347
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-150); Under

Game 927-928: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 14.557; White Sox (Floyd) 16.277
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-230); Over

Game 929-930: Boston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 14.671; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.473
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA DUNKEL

Atlanta at Tulsa
The Shock look to take advantage of an Atlanta team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games. Tulsa is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Atlanta favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 27

Game 601-602: Atlanta at Tulsa (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 108.899; Tulsa 103.065
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 174
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Chicago at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 113.312; Indiana 119.232
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+8 1/2); Under

Game 605-606: San Antonio at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 106.763; New York 111.642
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5; 154
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+7 1/2); Over

Game 607-608: Washington at Connecticut (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 113.059; Connecticut 112.102
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 151
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Under

Game 609-610: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 105.540; Minnesota 111.151
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 156
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+7); Under

Game 611-612: Phoenix at Seattle (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 112.739; Seattle 121.661
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 9; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 8; 178
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Tuesday's wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Orioles at Blue Jays– The hosts opened as a sizeable favorite at -215, but within a few hours the line quickly dropped as low as -230 with some books.

Oakland at Texas– The Rangers came out of the gate as a -230 favorite, but with Cliff Lee toeing the rubber, that line has swung to -240 in many markets.

Pittsburgh at Colorado – The home team opened as -185 chalk but that moneyline has moved to as low as -200 with some books.

Los Angeles at San Diego – The Padres started pretty high at -110, but that mark moved quickly to -120 with many services.

Weather report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Athletics at Rangers – There is a 30 percent chance of precipitation, but just a 6 mph wind expected to blow.

Pirates at Rockies – A 13 mph wind is expected to blow across the diamond from first toward third with a 30 percent chance of precipitation.

Mariners at White Sox – A 12 mph wind is expected to blow from left center toward home plate on a clear evening.

Who’s hot

The Giants are tied for an MLB-best 8-2 SU in their past 10 games, with the under going 5-4-1 during that stretch.

The WNBA’s Storm is 11-4-2 ATS in its past 17 games, including 3-0 ATS in all three games against the Mercury this season.

The Braves are doing a phenomenal job against the total in their past 10 games, beating the number eight times in that span.

Who’s not

The WNBA’s Tulsa has just 4 SU wins this season and is an equally bad 7-16 ATS this year, including failing to cover the spread in 13 of its past 17.

The Baltimore Orioles are tied for a Major League-worst 2-8 in their past 10 games and are just 7-14 this month overall.

The Mets haven’t just lost eight of 10, they are picking the wrong time to face the Cardinals. New York is a horrendous 7-9 against the NL Central this year, the worst of any team in the senior circuit.

Key stat

0 – Opposite-field home runs this season for MLB home run leader Jose Bautista. This season the right-handed hitting outfielder has stroked 27 gopher balls, but has failed to go the other way on any of them. Conversely, of the 12 other players in the Majors with at least 20 home runs, each of those players have gone the opposite way at least three times with a round tripper.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

The Mets put catcher Rod Barajas on the 15-day disabled list with a mild left oblique strain on Monday. Barajas had been an offensive catalyst early in the season for the Mets, hitting .228 with 12 home runs and 34 RBI. However, Barajas has been in a huge funk and hitting just .168 since the start of June. The result has been more and more playing time for rookie Josh Thole, and now the 23-year-old will take over full-time behind the plate in the midst of a pennant race. Thole is hitting .419 this year with a home run and six RBI, but he has only 31 at-bats and must play a more active role now in calling the games and planning how to attack lineups.

Game of the day

Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers

Notable quotable

“There’s no such thing as a ‘Reliable source.’ Don’t believe it people. The truth these days is so far gone. No credibility.”
-- LeBron James' post on his Twitter account, judging journalists who said he talked to Hornets star Chris Paul about demanding a trade.

Tips and notes

- How safe should Jonathan Bronxton feel? The closer has 19 saves and 57 strikeouts on the season, but has battled illness recently and opened the door for 22-year-old Kenley Jansen. The young star made his MLB debut when he recorded a save against the Mets and pitched a pair of perfect innings two straight days against New York, striking out four on only 29 pitches. Jansen, who made the transition from catcher to power right-hander, adds another dimension to a light-hitting Los Angeles team who needs a deep bullpen to make a run at the NL West.

- It’s officially a new era for the WNBA in Tulsa. The Shock traded the last player off its roster who played for the franchise in Detroit, swapping forward Alexis Hornbuckle for Rashanda McCants. Hornbuckle started 10 of 14 games, averaging 5.8 and 3.5 rebounds per game, compared to 5.6 points and 2.4 rebounds per game for McCants. What really matters is that this deal went down at 4 p.m. on Monday and the Shock host the Dream tomorrow at 1:30 p.m. in an odd afternoon game on NBA TV. McCants is a long-shot to play, putting a horrendous Shock team at an even bigger disadvantage against an Atlanta team in the midst of a playoff race.

- The Indians bullpen situation could get very murky. Manager Manny Acta said Kerry Wood could return as soon as Tuesday depending on the results of how he throws during a side session. Acta also added that the 33-year-old will resume closing duties once he returns. Wood is 8-for-11 in save situations this year and has been rumored to be moved at the trade deadline. Meantime, 25-year-old Chris Perez has collected a pair of saves in Wood’s place and is 9-for-12 in save chances, giving Acta a younger and more dynamic option. If your money is on the Indians, beware of late-game situations.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday, July 27

Hot pitchers
-- Hamels is 1-0, 0.31 in his last three starts.
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 2.04 in his last three starts. Braves won six of last seven Hanson road starts.
-- Wainwright is 4-0, 0.25 in his last five starts. Niese has a 2.20 RA in his last five starts.
-- Myers is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts. Lilly has 2.51 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Gallardo is 3-1, 1.95 in his last five home starts.
-- Billingsley is 3-2, 2.93 in his last seven road starts.
-- JJohnson is 7-2, 0.89 in his last thirteen starts. Cain is 2-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.

-- Bronx won last ten Sabathia starts (9-0, 2.59).
-- Verlander is 4-0, 3.24 in his last five starts.
-- Pavano is 3-0, 1.75 in his last three starts.
-- Floyd is 4-2, 1.92 in his last nine starts.
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 3.00 in his last six starts. Lee is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts.
-- Former Angel Lackey has 1.80 RA in his last couple starts. Pineiro is 7-1, 3.13 in his last nine starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lopez is 1-3, 8.37 in his last four starts.
-- Volquez has a 7.56 RA in his first two '10 starts.
-- Duke is 1-5, 7.09 in his last six starts. de la Rosa is 0-1, 10.54 in his last three starts.
-- Garland is 1-1, 5.73 in his last four starts.

-- Romero is 1-4, 8.31 in his last five starts. Millwood is 2-5, 9.39 in his last nine starts.
-- Shields is 2-7, 7.71 in his last ten starts.
-- Chen is 0-2, 7.20 in his last three starts.
-- Rowland-Smith is 0-2, 8.85 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 1-3, 4.97 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona road games.
-- Over is 8-2 in last ten Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets' last six games.
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 9-3 in last dozen games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers' last five home games.
-- Five of last six Florida road games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Baltimore games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Cleveland games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Detroit games.
-- Six of last eight Oakland games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Kansas City home games.
-- Under is 9-4 in White Sox' last thirteen home games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in Boston's last ten games.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last four games, outscoring foes 22-5.
-- Brewers won their last seven games at Miller Park.
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Padres won eight of their last ten games. Dodgers won four of their last five games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last ten games. Giants won 15 of their last 19 games.

-- Blue Jays are 7-3 since the All-Star break.
-- Rays won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Twins won five of their last six games.
-- A's won nine of their last eleven games. Rangers won eight of 11.
-- White Sox are 15-1 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Bronx won 15 of its last 19 games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona is 4-21 in its last 25 road games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games. Atlanta is 1-5 in last six road series openers.
-- Mets are 2-9 since the All-Star break. Cardinals are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last twelve games. Pirates lost their last four games, scoring a total of ten runs.
-- Astros lost five of their last seven home games.

-- Indians lost their last three games, scoring seven runs.
-- Orioles lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Tigers lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Royals lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Mariners lost 18 of their last 23 games.
-- Angels lost five of their last six games. Red Sox are 9-13 in their last twenty-two road games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Solid Gold Play:

Washington Nationals

 

[Dr.T]

Red Dog Sports

Free 2* WNBA Pick

Chicago/Indiana under 143.5
The last 3 meetings this year only reached 109, 134, 130 and the one before that went into overtime. The last 11 meetings have seen the under profit 8 times and Indiana at home has 11 unders in their last 14 games.

Chicago has 3 overs and 8 unders on the road while Indiana has 3 overs and 8 unders at home. Chicago guard Jia Perkins has struggled against the Fever this year going 2-9 from the field for just 7 points in the last game at Indy. Look for a game in the high 130's that stays under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach's MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Toronto vs Baltimore @ 7:05 ET: Romero vs Millwood - RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Play OVER the total in Toronto on Tuesday as a *10* Top Play selection.